Federal land projects

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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Thu Sep 26, 2013 6:13 pm

assateague wrote:There may be an infinite number of outcomes, but we are only ever concerned with one of them. And that makes it 50/50.

Hell, it's even 50/50 that there are an infinite number of outcomes.

Embrace it. It's invincible.

smh
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby waterfowlman » Thu Sep 26, 2013 6:49 pm

assateague wrote:Yup.


It's also 50/50 you're gonna shoot a Pintail this season my friend.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby t_baker » Thu Sep 26, 2013 6:51 pm

waterfowlman wrote:
assateague wrote:Yup.


It's also 50/50 you're gonna shoot a Pintail this season my friend.


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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Tinner4 » Thu Sep 26, 2013 7:33 pm

Indawoods wrote:
Tinner4 wrote:Didn't know I was gonna open a can of worms with that comment haha


chance of the can opening was 50/50.


:lol3:
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Thu Sep 26, 2013 7:35 pm

waterfowlman wrote:
assateague wrote:Yup.


It's also 50/50 you're gonna shoot a Pintail this season my friend.

Naw...that's more like 1/1 million....
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby WoodyWhiffingMG » Fri Sep 27, 2013 2:32 pm

Indaswamp wrote:
waterfowlman wrote:
assateague wrote:Yup.


It's also 50/50 you're gonna shoot a Pintail this season my friend.

Naw...that's more like 1/1 million....

:no: can't be, everything is 50/50
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby assateague » Fri Sep 27, 2013 2:33 pm

Thank you.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Westtennduckhunter » Fri Sep 27, 2013 2:34 pm

assateague wrote:Thank you.


He doesn't get it
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Sat Sep 28, 2013 12:55 am

WoodyWhiffingMG wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
waterfowlman wrote:
assateague wrote:Yup.


It's also 50/50 you're gonna shoot a Pintail this season my friend.

Naw...that's more like 1/1 million....

:no: can't be, everything is 50/50

Nope. there is a 100% chance you will die.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby assateague » Sat Sep 28, 2013 8:00 am

Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Sat Sep 28, 2013 11:05 am

assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby aunt betty » Sat Sep 28, 2013 2:32 pm

Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.

Heh heh...
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby assateague » Sat Sep 28, 2013 3:49 pm

Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby razorback » Sat Sep 28, 2013 3:54 pm

Tinner4 wrote:Figured it out! Stopped and asked the surveyors last week. They are digging it out and making it a wetland preserve which is awesome! What's not so awesome is it's still going to be privately owned by a trust.... so I'm not sure what the chances are of us getting on it to hunt. I also asked them how many pheasants were seen when they cut the grass (my mother released them there for years) they said onlyt 8 hens and 2 coveys of quail... :lol3: I KNOW BETTER!


We did something similar here. Owned some property, they came in and installed dikes and pumps. We have exclusive access to it. Only stipulation was we can't develop it for 99 years.

Go make friends with the owners to get a spot.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Tinner4 » Sat Sep 28, 2013 7:12 pm

razorback wrote:
Tinner4 wrote:Figured it out! Stopped and asked the surveyors last week. They are digging it out and making it a wetland preserve which is awesome! What's not so awesome is it's still going to be privately owned by a trust.... so I'm not sure what the chances are of us getting on it to hunt. I also asked them how many pheasants were seen when they cut the grass (my mother released them there for years) they said onlyt 8 hens and 2 coveys of quail... :lol3: I KNOW BETTER!


We did something similar here. Owned some property, they came in and installed dikes and pumps. We have exclusive access to it. Only stipulation was we can't develop it for 99 years.

Go make friends with the owners to get a spot.



Been considering it. I think my dad knows someone in the mix. If I can't hunt it at least there will be a place super close to snap some pictures!
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Sat Sep 28, 2013 7:16 pm

assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.

1000 people buy a lottery ticket, 1 winner. It is known in advance that there will only be one winner, just not WHO that winner is. Fact. if it were 50/50, there would be 500 winners known ahead of time, just not exactly which ones would win. In one example, the odds are 1 in 1000. In the second, it's 50/50. Sorry you can't see that.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Westtennduckhunter » Sat Sep 28, 2013 7:17 pm

Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.

1000 people buy a lottery ticket, 1 winner. It is known in advance that there will only be one winner, just not WHO that winner is. Fact. if it were 50/50, there would be 500 winners known ahead of time, just not exactly which ones would win. In one example, the odds are 1 in 1000. In the second, it's 50/50. Sorry you can't see that.


Either you win or you lose. 50/50.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Westtennduckhunter » Sat Sep 28, 2013 7:19 pm

assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.


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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Sat Sep 28, 2013 7:19 pm

Westtennduckhunter wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.

1000 people buy a lottery ticket, 1 winner. It is known in advance that there will only be one winner, just not WHO that winner is. Fact. if it were 50/50, there would be 500 winners known ahead of time, just not exactly which ones would win. In one example, the odds are 1 in 1000. In the second, it's 50/50. Sorry you can't see that.


Either you win or you lose. 50/50.

probability of winning is mathematically higher in the second example than the first. fact.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Sat Sep 28, 2013 7:23 pm

Westtennduckhunter wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.

1000 people buy a lottery ticket, 1 winner. It is known in advance that there will only be one winner, just not WHO that winner is. Fact. if it were 50/50, there would be 500 winners known ahead of time, just not exactly which ones would win. In one example, the odds are 1 in 1000. In the second, it's 50/50. Sorry you can't see that.


Either you win or you lose. 50/50.

I have some lottery tickets for sale.... :wink:
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby assateague » Sat Sep 28, 2013 7:57 pm

Indaswamp wrote:
Westtennduckhunter wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.

1000 people buy a lottery ticket, 1 winner. It is known in advance that there will only be one winner, just not WHO that winner is. Fact. if it were 50/50, there would be 500 winners known ahead of time, just not exactly which ones would win. In one example, the odds are 1 in 1000. In the second, it's 50/50. Sorry you can't see that.


Either you win or you lose. 50/50.

I have some lottery tickets for sale.... :wink:



No thanks. A 50% chance of losing my money is way too high for me.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby assateague » Sat Sep 28, 2013 8:04 pm

Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.

1000 people buy a lottery ticket, 1 winner. It is known in advance that there will only be one winner, just not WHO that winner is. Fact. if it were 50/50, there would be 500 winners known ahead of time, just not exactly which ones would win. In one example, the odds are 1 in 1000. In the second, it's 50/50. Sorry you can't see that.



I'll use your example for a minute. I'm assuming (correct me if I'm wrong) that you look at it as a 1 in 1000 chance that the ticket you bought wins. But what does that statement ACTUALLY mean? That if you draw a number 1000 times, 1 time it will be your number. So now explain to me WHERE on the continuum of those 1,000 draws your number falls. Does it have just as much chance of being the first as the 412th? Of course. Do lottery tickets, if off by one number, come in "second place", or if off by 2 numbers come in "third place"? Nope. It is a win or lose proposition. It doesn't matter if you draw one time or 100 times- your mincer has just as much chance of being drawn next as not- it will or it won't. 50/50. Because after that first draw, the other 999 don't matter. It's over. You will have won, or you will not have won. Those are the only- ONLY- two possible outcomes.

So, when you are faced with only two possible outcomes (you win, or you don't win), what are the odds?

50/50, that's what.
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Sat Sep 28, 2013 8:24 pm

assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
Westtennduckhunter wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:
Indaswamp wrote:
assateague wrote:Until it happens, you don't know that for certain. So, 50/50.

Now you are just being absurd.



Absolutely not. Ask Mr. Schrodinger how absurd the premise is. Until something occurs, it absolutely cannot be measured- it's all riding a probability wave function. And when it does happen, there are only two possibilities remaining- did or did not. 50/50.

1000 people buy a lottery ticket, 1 winner. It is known in advance that there will only be one winner, just not WHO that winner is. Fact. if it were 50/50, there would be 500 winners known ahead of time, just not exactly which ones would win. In one example, the odds are 1 in 1000. In the second, it's 50/50. Sorry you can't see that.


Either you win or you lose. 50/50.

I have some lottery tickets for sale.... :wink:



No thanks. A 50% chance of losing my money is way too high for me.

alright, Let's take the daily finishing numbers on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Take the Penny column. You have 10 possible digits to choose from. You guess what the final will be at the close of the bell for the next ten days. If you are correct that you have a 50/50 chance of being correct, you should be able to be right at least 5 times over the next ten days. Good luck. You are going to need it. BTW-post your guess by noon of each work day.


I say that the odds at 1 in 10 that you will be correct.....
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby Indaswamp » Sat Sep 28, 2013 10:15 pm

twitch.....
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Re: Federal land projects

Postby assateague » Sat Sep 28, 2013 10:44 pm

Indaswamp wrote:alright, Let's take the daily finishing numbers on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Take the Penny column. You have 10 possible digits to choose from. You guess what the final will be at the close of the bell for the next ten days. If you are correct that you have a 50/50 chance of being correct, you should be able to be right at least 5 times over the next ten days. Good luck. You are going to need it. BTW-post your guess by noon of each work day.


I say that the odds at 1 in 10 that you will be correct.....


50/50 I'm right half the time.
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