Its hard to say and there are two big reasons why its hard to say.
1) Most of these games are happening over a month after any of these teams last regular season game. All momentum and some chemistry is gone. This doesn't just affect TCU and Boise, it affects Texas and Bama as well.
2) Do you think a TCU or Boise gets as fired up about Poinsettia Bowl rematch as they would about playing Texas or the Tide? I doubt it.
Those are also the two main reasons I have problems getting fired up about any bowl game, including my own teams game. Bowl games are about what teams can maintain some type of chemistry a month after the regular season is over. For this reason, these are nothing more than pre-season exhibition games, rather than post season games.
But to answer your question, if Bama plays like they did against Florida, I'm not sure anyone in the country can beat them. 1 month later, who knows what bama team will show up.
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