Indaswamp wrote:flightstopper wrote:assateague wrote:Your ticket still won. If you're out $1, you have to win $1 to "break even". Only two outcomes ever. 50/50.

Bingo

there are as many "outcomes" as there are participants. That is your fatal flaw in your theory Assa. 100 people buy a ticket in a drawing of 100 tickets, there are 100 outcomes possible, not 2.

No. There is no fatal flaw, because there is no flaw.

The concept of "probability" does not exist until a question has been phrased, an outcome postulated. Until that time, there is just "life". A random sea of events, interacting, happening, not happening, whatever. Until one says "Will I win the lottery?", or "will it rain tomorrow?", there is no such thing as probability. And as soon as that particular question is posed, then you have automatically limited the outcome to only two possibilities- did or did not. You can't very well measure an outcome BEFORE something happens. And when it HAS happened, you are left with only two possibilities- did or did not.

Go read up on probability wave functions, and when they collapse.