Whaaaaaaa, Whaaaaaaa, Whaaaaaa. I didn't draw so it fixed! Whaaaaa. Whaaaaa. Whaaaaaa.
Take a Statistics class and the world will look very different to you, ducslayer. I never said it was fixed but maybe not done correctly or biased. After talking with Jeff the outcome is that the hunt program is not biased but not at all random as we would like to think.
Here is the scoop from Jeff Smith
I can assure you the draw is 100% random and is done by a third party. The individuals whom you have mentioned have won family hunts at Denverton. Each group must have at least one youth hunter to attend. Family hunts do not apply to all hunters, so the application numbers are generally much lower than our general hunts. These particular hunts at Denverton, which are family hunts receive very few applications per hunt. This is the reason you are seeing repeat winners on the family hunt days at Denverton.
Individuals can apply for every single hunt in the Hunt Program, but can not apply more than once per opportunity. For instance at Denverton, one hunter can apply to every blind on the property per date.
Please contact me anytime, if you have any questions regarding the Hunt Program.
Hope you have a great waterfowl season.
Hunt Program Coordinator
Cell: (530) firstname.lastname@example.org
I then followed up with the question..
Thank for the reply. One question I do have is what will happen on the 23rd on blind #4 winner and 1st alt cancel? I asked this since Mitchell Ling could get picked for Blind #4 if the Winner and 1st alt don't show up. In other words who would get blind #4
27. DENVERTON: Nov 23, Blind #3
a. Hunt Winner: Mitchell Ling
b. 1st Alternate: Ben Sparks
c. 2nd Alternate: Carson Cleland
28. DENVERTON: Nov 23, Blind #4
a. Hunt Winner: Jordan Ruiz
b. 1st Alternate: Hunter Cutting
c. 2nd Alternate: Mitchell Ling
Jeff's reply was
I email all applicants who applied for the hunt date. The open spot is filled by the first person who contacts me.
So in my mind the results are not biased but the method is a little flawed if it allows duplicates on the same day. That means you might not be picked because the program allows the same user to be picked twice for the same day.